PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-2.5) vs Kaylan Bigun (+2.5)

Kaylan Bigun68%
Keegan Smith33%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.7K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:50 AMSep 29, 09:45 AMSep 29, 03:40 PMSep 29, 09:35 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Keegan Smith" if Keegan Smith wins 2.5 or more total games than Kaylan Bigun in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kaylan Bigun". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Keegan Smith could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Kaylan Bigun". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Columbus: Completed Match: Kaylan Bigun vs Keegan SmithPolymarket54% YesOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Kaylan Bigun vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket65% Under 2.5Open
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kaylan Bigun vs Keegan SmithPolymarket50% Kaylan BigunOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket63% OverOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Kaylan Bigun (-1.5) vs Keegan Smith (+1.5)Polymarket83% Keegan SmithOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kaylan Bigun vs Keegan SmithPolymarket65% Keegan SmithOpen
Kaylan Bigun vs Keegan Smith: Kaylan Bigun winsPolymarket73% Keegan SmithOpen
Bigun vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Kaylan Bigun (+1.5)Polymarket52% Kaylan BigunOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC