KalshiOpen

Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?

At least 14%82%
No19%

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24h volume$0
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Spread2%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:34 AMSep 29, 11:33 AMSep 29, 07:32 PMSep 30, 03:31 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Bronson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 14% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Dave Bronson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi62% At least 18%Open
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi72% At least 16%Open
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi91% At least 12%Open
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi92% At least 10%Open
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi53% NoOpen
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi60% NoOpen
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round): Will Dave Bronson receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Kalshi64% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:13 AM UTC