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How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?: Will Trump make 5 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Oct 2026?

No93%
57%

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24h volume$2.3
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:26 AMSep 29, 12:50 PMSep 29, 10:14 PMSep 30, 07:38 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump makes exactly 5 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included - i.e. if Oct 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Oct 2026, that will count as a visit.

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As of Sep 30, 08:02 AM UTC