North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?: Will AfD win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?

If AfD wins the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.