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When will Mamdani visit the White House?: Will Zohran Mamdani visit the White House before Mar 1, 2027?

No65%
Before Mar 1, 202736%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:25 AMSep 29, 02:17 PMSep 30, 01:10 AMSep 30, 12:02 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit. The White House means any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn.

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As of Sep 30, 12:09 PM UTC