KalshiOpen

Next Serbian presidential election winner?: Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Student-backed candidate92%
No8%

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24h volume$1.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread32%
ResolvesDec 27, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:25 AMSep 29, 10:12 AMSep 29, 04:58 PMSep 29, 11:45 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Student-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 2026 parliamentary election, provided that candidate is not also nominated or endorsed by SNS. If the winner is neither an SNS-backed candidate nor a Student-backed candidate, both markets resolve No. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office, is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Next Serbian presidential election winner?: Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Kalshi60% SNS-backed candidateOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:46 PM UTC