Will BC Conservatives finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Conservative Party of B.C. finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 British Columbia general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for second and an unlisted party finishes second, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Elections BC, not the preliminary election-night count.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will OneBC finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will BC Greens finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Will CentreBC finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Will BC NDP finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Kalshi | 54% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC