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Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? John Thune

No55%
John Thune45%

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24h volume$1.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:25 AMSep 29, 09:55 AMSep 29, 04:25 PMSep 29, 10:55 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If John Thune wins the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the largest party that does not hold Senate majority status serves as Senate Minority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC