Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Wisconsin?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If ALL of the Democratic candidate for Governor of Wisconsin, the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Senate, and the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Assembly win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Each state market requires the Democratic candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Democratic Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Pennsylvania? | Kalshi | 54% No | Open |
| Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Nevada? | Kalshi | 57% No | Open |
| Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Minnesota? | Kalshi | 79% Minnesota | Open |
| Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Michigan? | Kalshi | 63% Michigan | Open |
| Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Arizona? | Kalshi | 54% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 08:57 AM UTC