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Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?: Democratic trifecta in Wisconsin?

Wisconsin59%
No42%

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:25 AMSep 29, 09:09 PMSep 30, 02:54 PMOct 1, 08:38 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If ALL of the Democratic candidate for Governor of Wisconsin, the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Senate, and the Democratic Party in the Wisconsin State Assembly win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Each state market requires the Democratic candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Democratic Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Oct 1, 08:57 AM UTC