KalshiOpen

OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.9%

No89%
Above 18.9%11%

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24h volume$3.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 12, 2026in 13 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:10 AMSep 29, 08:51 AMSep 29, 02:32 PMSep 29, 08:13 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If OpenAI scores above 18.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 28, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
OpenAI market share this week? Above 17.6%Kalshi56% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.1%Kalshi69% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 18.5%Kalshi81% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 16.0%Kalshi92% Above 16.0%Open
OpenAI market share this week? Above 19.3%Kalshi93% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 20.3%Kalshi98% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 21.5%Kalshi98% NoOpen
OpenAI market share this week? Above 13.3%Kalshi99% Above 13.3%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC