KalshiOpen

Cup Series: Ryan Blaney wins

No94%
Ryan Blaney6%

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24h volume$863.5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:10 AMSep 29, 08:51 AMSep 29, 02:32 PMSep 29, 08:13 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ryan Blaney finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 South Point 400 originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If || Competitor || retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. If Ryan Blaney retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Cup Series: Josh Berry winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Kyle Larson winsKalshi80% NoOpen
Cup Series: Christopher Bell winsKalshi88% NoOpen
Cup Series: Chase Briscoe winsKalshi90% NoOpen
Cup Series: Austin Cindric winsKalshi97% NoOpen
Cup Series: William Byron winsKalshi94% NoOpen
Cup Series: Chase Elliott winsKalshi95% NoOpen
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin winsKalshi81% NoOpen
Cup Series: Tyler Reddick winsKalshi91% NoOpen
Cup Series: Joey Logano winsKalshi94% NoOpen
Cup Series: Daniel Suarez winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Cup Series: Ross Chastain winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Cup Series: Ryan Preece winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Chris Buescher winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Cup Series: Brad Keselowski winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Bubba Wallace winsKalshi96% NoOpen
Cup Series: Carson Hocevar winsKalshi96% NoOpen
Cup Series: Ty Gibbs winsKalshi94% NoOpen
Cup Series: Erik Jones winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Alex Bowman winsKalshi98% NoOpen
Cup Series: Todd Gilliland winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Zane Smith winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Cup Series: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. winsKalshi90% NoOpen
Cup Series: Noah Gragson winsKalshi90% NoOpen
South Point 400 Winner: Cup Series: Ty Dillon winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC