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RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?

Before Jul 1, 202873%
No27%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesJan 8, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:09 AMSep 29, 06:24 PMSep 30, 09:39 AMOct 1, 12:54 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves as HHS Secretary before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

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As of Oct 1, 01:41 AM UTC