PolymarketOpen

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

No94%
Yes7%

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24h volume$262.3
7d volume$262.3
30d volume$262.3
Liquidity$10K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:10 AMSep 29, 09:00 AMSep 29, 02:51 PMSep 29, 08:42 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 2 12:00 PM ET to October 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket77% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket86% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC