KalshiOpen

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

No86%
Kansas14%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesDec 18, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions. For ranked-choice voting, the vote shares in the last round actually conducted are used.

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As of Oct 2, 02:51 AM UTC