PolymarketOpen

Exact Margin: Tie

No51%
Yes49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.6
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 05:55 AMSep 29, 03:18 PMSep 30, 12:41 AMSep 30, 10:04 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game ends in a tie. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Exact Margin: Florida State by 25+Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Louisville by 25+Polymarket53% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Florida State by 1-6Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Louisville by 13-18Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Florida State by 7-12Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Louisville by 1-6Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Louisville by 19-24Polymarket52% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Florida State by 19-24Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Louisville by 7-12Polymarket51% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Florida State by 13-18Polymarket51% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 10:30 AM UTC