PolymarketOpen

Exact Margin: Fresno State by 13-18

No54%
Yes47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4.9
Spread93%
ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 11 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 01:53 AMSep 29, 10:37 AMSep 29, 07:21 PMSep 30, 04:05 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fresno State win the game by 13 to 18 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Exact Margin: Fresno State by 7-12Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Fresno State by 25+Polymarket53% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Boise State by 19-24Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Fresno State by 1-6Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Boise State by 7-12Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Fresno State by 19-24Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Boise State by 25+Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: TiePolymarket52% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Boise State by 1-6Polymarket54% NoOpen
Exact Margin: Boise State by 13-18Polymarket54% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 04:08 AM UTC