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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:55PM-9PM ET

Down51%
Up50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 12:32 AMSep 29, 08:08 AMSep 29, 03:45 PMSep 29, 11:22 PM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the BTC/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the BTC/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usdt-topofbook-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick. To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET or 1:10 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The Chainlink stream uses the mid-price, which is calculated as the average price between the bid and ask prices from Binance's Top of Book, converted into the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink BTC/USDT data stream, not on other sources or spot markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:27 PM UTC