Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 73% No | Open |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 69% No | Open |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:25 PM UTC