KalshiOpen

Will the maximum temperature be >74° on Sep 29, 2026? 75° or above

No99%
75° or above1%

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24h volume$1.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 24 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 05:21 PMSep 29, 01:53 AMSep 29, 10:25 AMSep 29, 06:57 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) for Sep 29, 2026, is greater than 74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.

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As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC