KalshiOpen

Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 5, 2026?

No68%
Moon32%

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24h volume$4.8K
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 05:16 PMSep 29, 03:14 AMSep 29, 01:12 PMSep 29, 11:09 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Moon, or a plural or possessive form of Moon, is stated by Donald Trump after September 28, 2026 at 8:15am ET and before Oct 5, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Sleepy JoeOpen
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi63% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi72% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Transgender" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi96% TransgenderOpen
Will Trump say "Save America Act" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Save America ActOpen
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Uranium" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi77% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Voter ID" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Voter IDOpen
What will Trump say this week?: Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% TDS / Trump Derangement SyndromeOpen
Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi84% Golf / Golfer / GolfingOpen
What will Trump say this week?: Will Trump say "Canada / Canadian" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Canada / CanadianOpen
Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi57% Autopen / Auto PenOpen
What will Trump say this week?: Will Trump say "Socialist / Socialism" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Socialist / SocialismOpen
Will Trump say "Melania" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi56% MelaniaOpen
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi67% Bibi / NetanyahuOpen
Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi89% UkraineOpen
Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi55% Who are you with / Where are you fromOpen
Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi62% Rigged Election / Stolen ElectionOpen
Will Trump say "Kamala" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi77% KamalaOpen
Will Trump say "Dividend / Stimulus" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi99% Dividend / StimulusOpen
Will Trump say "Antifa" before Oct 5, 2026?Kalshi75% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC