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What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Trump (5+ times)

Trump (5+ times)90%
No10%

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24h volume$9.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread16%
ResolvesOct 14, 2026in 14 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 05:11 PMSep 29, 06:23 AMSep 29, 07:35 PMSep 30, 08:47 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any participating candidate says Trump (5+ times) as part of CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). any participating candidate speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Corrupt / CorruptionKalshi63% Corrupt / CorruptionOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Refinery / RefineKalshi54% Refinery / RefineOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? BillionaireKalshi75% BillionaireOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? China / ChineseKalshi52% China / ChineseOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Mental HealthKalshi80% Mental HealthOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? TariffKalshi74% TariffOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Israel / IsraeliKalshi64% NoOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? HollywoodKalshi63% HollywoodOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Wildfire / FireKalshi82% Wildfire / FireOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Budget / DeficitKalshi79% Budget / DeficitOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Event does not qualifyKalshi99% NoOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Data CenterKalshi77% Data CenterOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Newsom (3+ times)Kalshi76% Newsom (3+ times)Open
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Affordable / AffordabilityKalshi84% Affordable / AffordabilityOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshi76% AI / Artificial IntelligenceOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? FraudKalshi65% FraudOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? BorderKalshi69% BorderOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? HospiceKalshi80% NoOpen
What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate?: What will any participating candidate say during CNN California Governor Debate originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? BallroomKalshi81% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 09:12 AM UTC