KalshiOpen

Will Richard Hudson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?

No99%
Richard Hudson2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 05:10 PMSep 29, 02:51 AMSep 29, 12:32 PMSep 29, 10:13 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Richard Hudson wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. For this indirect election, the winner is the candidate elected House Minority Leader by the House Democratic Caucus or the House Republican Conference of whichever party holds the minority in the 120th Congress, as certified by that body. A later change in the office does not affect resolution. If the minority party selects someone not listed, every market resolves NO. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Tom Emmer win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Ted Lieu win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Pete Aguilar win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Steve Scalise win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Mike Lawler win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Katherine Clark win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Lisa McClain win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Jay Obernolte win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Joe Neguse win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Jim Jordan win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Hakeem Jeffries win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi92% NoOpen
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Kevin Hern win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will August Pfluger win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC