Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 1 12:00 PM ET to October 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 58% Yes | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Polymarket | 73% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC