PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Alex Molcan (-1.5) vs Marco Trungelliti (+1.5)

Alex Molcan100%
Marco Trungelliti0%

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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:27 PMSep 29, 11:40 AMSep 30, 09:52 AMOct 1, 08:05 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Marco Trungelliti in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alex Molcan" if Alex Molcan wins by 2 or more sets than Marco Trungelliti, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Marco Trungelliti." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Molcan can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Marco Trungelliti." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex MolcanPolymarket100% Alex MolcanOpen
China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex MolcanPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)Polymarket100% Alex MolcanOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Marco Trungelliti vs. Alex Molcan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Trungelliti vs. Molcan: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex MolcanPolymarket100% Alex MolcanOpen
Set 2 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex MolcanPolymarket100% Alex MolcanOpen
Game Spread: Marco Trungelliti (-0.5) vs Alex Molcan (+0.5)Polymarket100% Alex MolcanOpen

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As of Oct 1, 11:15 AM UTC