PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro

Denis Shapovalov62%
Sho Shimabukuro39%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.7K
Spread47%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:27 PMSep 29, 03:30 AMSep 29, 05:33 PMSep 30, 07:36 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Denis Shapovalov” if Denis Shapovalov wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sho Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket68% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket74% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-4.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+4.5)Polymarket58% Sho ShimabukuroOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Sho ShimabukuroPolymarket75% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+1.5)Polymarket51% Sho ShimabukuroOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Denis Shapovalov vs. Sho Shimabukuro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open

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As of Sep 30, 08:20 AM UTC