PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Matteo Berrettini (+1.5)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina53%
Matteo Berrettini48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$24K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:43 PMSep 29, 12:35 PMSep 30, 01:28 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina" if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins 1.5 or more total games than Matteo Berrettini in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Matteo Berrettini". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Matteo Berrettini". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniPolymarket52% YesOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniPolymarket57% Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket64% OverOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniPolymarket56% Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniPolymarket59% Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Matteo Berrettini (+1.5)Polymarket62% Matteo BerrettiniOpen
Fokina vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:05 AM UTC