PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Arthur Fery (+1.5)

Arthur Fery54%
Lorenzo Musetti47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$29.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:43 PMSep 29, 12:35 PMSep 30, 01:28 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Arthur Fery in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Musetti" if Lorenzo Musetti wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Fery, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arthur Fery." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Musetti can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arthur Fery." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur FeryPolymarket52% YesOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Lorenzo Musetti (-3.5) vs Arthur Fery (+3.5)Polymarket52% Lorenzo MusettiOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur FeryPolymarket63% Lorenzo MusettiOpen
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket65% Under 2.5Open
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Musetti vs. Fery: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur FeryPolymarket69% Lorenzo MusettiOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur FeryPolymarket63% Lorenzo MusettiOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:31 AM UTC