PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys

Quentin Halys55%
Ignacio Buse46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$30.4K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 03:25 AMSep 29, 08:00 PMSep 30, 12:34 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Ignacio Buse” if Ignacio Buse wins the first set. It will resolve to “Quentin Halys” if Quentin Halys wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin HalysPolymarket52% NoOpen
Ignacio Buse vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Buse vs. Halys: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Quentin Halys (-1.5) vs Ignacio Buse (+1.5)Polymarket66% Ignacio BuseOpen
Set 2 Winner: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin HalysPolymarket53% Quentin HalysOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Quentin Halys (-2.5) vs Ignacio Buse (+2.5)Polymarket56% Ignacio BuseOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket84% OverOpen
Buse vs. Halys: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin HalysPolymarket55% Quentin HalysOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 12:56 PM UTC