PolymarketOpen

Will it rain in New York, NY on September 29?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume$70.6
7d volume$150.3
30d volume$150.3
Liquidity$101.3
Spread2%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 10 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:26 PMSep 29, 03:29 AMSep 29, 05:33 PMSep 30, 07:36 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on September 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.

Sourcehttps://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 29?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 29?Polymarket92% YesOpen
Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 29?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 29?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 29?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 29?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 29?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 29?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 29?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 29?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 29?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 29?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 29?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 29?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 08:10 AM UTC