Will it rain in San Francisco on Sep 29, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the total precipitation at CLISFO in San Francisco in Sep 29, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLISFO can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 01:15 PM UTC