BTC Up or Down - Weekly
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on October 5, 2026, at 03:59 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Pyth Pro BTC/USD captured on September 28, 2026, at 04:00 UTC was $83,325.71354903. Resolution source: Pyth Pro BTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. If Pyth Pro is briefly missing data at exactly 03:59 UTC on October 5, 2026, the next available Pyth Pro price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp. In the rare event of a longer Pyth Pro outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth Pro price.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 hours agoBest bid 55% · best ask 61%
Top holders
- 0x5673D23B35277F262603E8B6260FB34037fc47F2Yes$2
- 0x812353eeece70971b3B653fF3a5CF559000042DcNo$0.6
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —78%$122 hours ago
- —78%$122 hours ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 10:54 AM UTC