PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Alex Cairo vs Alexander Bernard

Alexander Bernard91%
Alex Cairo10%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$323.4
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:50 AMSep 28, 07:24 PMSep 29, 12:58 PMSep 30, 06:31 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Cairo and Alexander Bernard in the M15 Ann Arbor, MI, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Cairo” if Alex Cairo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alexander Bernard” if Alexander Bernard wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Ann Arbor, MI, Qualifying: Completed Match: Alex Cairo vs Alexander BernardPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex Cairo vs Alexander BernardPolymarket91% Alexander BernardOpen
Set Handicap: Alexander Bernard (-1.5) vs Alex Cairo (+1.5)Polymarket91% Alexander BernardOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Alex Cairo (-1.5) vs Alexander Bernard (+1.5)Polymarket91% Alexander BernardOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Alex Cairo vs. Alexander Bernard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket91% Under 2.5Open
Cairo vs. Bernard: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
M15 Ann Arbor, MI: Alex Cairo vs Alexander BernardPolymarket100% Alexander BernardOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 06:43 AM UTC