Houston wins by over 5.5 points

Houston wins by over 5.5 points69%
No31%

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24h volume$14.3
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Houston wins by more than 5.5 points in the UCF vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses its own settlement process and allows a 48-hour start window, while Polymarket cites NCAA.com and keeps the market open until completion; their cancellation rules also differ. These are resolution-policy differences, not differences in the sports question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Houston wins by over 5.5 points

    If Houston wins by more than 5.5 points in the UCF vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 1, 12:08 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    UCF vs Houston: spread: Houston (-5.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston" if Houston win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Houston wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi52% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi59% Houston wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi64% Houston wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi71% Houston wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi53% Houston wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi55% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi56% Houston wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi69% Houston wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi78% Houston wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Houston wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi80% Houston wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
UCF wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
UCF wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi78% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Houston wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 12:56 PM UTC