Washington wins by over 2.5 points

No78%
Washington wins by over 2.5 points22%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Washington wins by more than 2.5 points in the Washington vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses NCAA as its resolution source and specifies 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled without a makeup; Kalshi provides no source and uses a fair-price rule if the game does not begin within 48 hours. These are settlement-rule differences, not differences in the event being measured.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Washington vs USC: spread: Washington (-2.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "USC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Washington wins by over 2.5 points

    If Washington wins by more than 2.5 points in the Washington vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
USC wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi52% USC wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi60% USC wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi95% NoOpen
USC wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi55% USC wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
USC wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi55% NoOpen
USC wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
USC wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi63% NoOpen
USC wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi74% USC wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
USC wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi61% USC wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi67% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
USC wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi67% USC wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
USC wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi75% USC wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi68% USC wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
USC wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
USC wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
USC wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
USC wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi64% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 11:49 AM UTC