KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-3.5)

No74%

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points26%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:39 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.1K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If WAS Commanders wins by more than 3.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket cites NFL.com and specifies tie, postponement, and cancellation handling; Kalshi provides no resolution source and only states the affirmative spread condition. Their listed settlement times differ, but this is a resolution-timing difference rather than a different event or line.

PolymarketOpen →
Colts vs Commanders: spread: Commanders (-3.5)
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Commanders" if the Commanders win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshithis market
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-3.5)
If WAS Commanders wins by more than 3.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-20.5)	Kalshi	89% No	$2.9K	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-5.5)	Kalshi	80% No	$2.5K	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-3.5)	Kalshi	50% No	$2.2K	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-2.5)	Kalshi	58% IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points	$1.4K	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-9.5)	Kalshi	86% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-10.5)	Kalshi	71% No	$850	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-7.5)	Kalshi	65% No	$842.5	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-2.5)	Kalshi	67% No	$709.3	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-6.5)	Kalshi	80% No	$643.6	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-6.5)	Kalshi	59% No	$596	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-9.5)	Kalshi	69% No	$351.3	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-4.5)	Kalshi	53% No	$238.9	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-5.5)	Kalshi	54% No	$166.3	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-1.5)	Kalshi	61% IND Colts wins by over 1.5 points	$51	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-1.5)	Kalshi	67% No	$41.7	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-7.5)	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-4.5)	Kalshi	79% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-14.5)	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-13.5)	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: WAS Commanders (-10.5)	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-16.5)	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-17.5)	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-13.5)	Kalshi	79% No	$0	—	—	Open
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-14.5)	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 59 minutes ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC