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Colombia rate decision in October: Will the Banco de la República hike more than 25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

No76%
Hike more than 25bps24%

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24h volume$496.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 30, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 10:56 PMSep 28, 03:01 PMSep 29, 07:05 AMSep 29, 11:09 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Banco de la República takes the action of hike more than 25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

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As of Sep 29, 11:46 PM UTC