PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Kamil Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)

Kamil Majchrzak83%
Lorenzo Sonego17%

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24h volume$152.7
7d volume$152.7
30d volume$152.7
Liquidity$18.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 10:22 PMSep 28, 03:35 AMSep 28, 08:47 AMSep 28, 02:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 27 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Lorenzo Sonego in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kamil Majchrzak" if Kamil Majchrzak wins by 2 or more sets than Lorenzo Sonego, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lorenzo Sonego." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kamil Majchrzak can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lorenzo Sonego." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil MajchrzakPolymarket100% Kamil MajchrzakOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil MajchrzakPolymarket56% Kamil MajchrzakOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil MajchrzakPolymarket90% Kamil MajchrzakOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Kamil Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)Polymarket100% Kamil MajchrzakOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Completed Match: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil MajchrzakPolymarket50% NoOpen
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Sonego vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 03:52 PM UTC