PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Jaime Faria (-3.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+3.5)

Jaime Faria100%
Shintaro Mochizuki0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 10:22 PMSep 28, 08:56 PMSep 29, 07:29 PMSep 30, 06:03 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Jaime Faria" if Jaime Faria wins 3.5 or more total games than Shintaro Mochizuki in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shintaro Mochizuki". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Jaime Faria could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Shintaro Mochizuki". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Jaime Faria: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Mochizuki vs. Faria: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:44 PM UTC