PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Katarzyna Kawa (-3.5) vs Rinko Matsuda (+3.5)

Rinko Matsuda100%
Katarzyna Kawa0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 08:50 PMSep 28, 08:01 PMSep 29, 07:12 PMSep 30, 06:23 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Katarzyna Kawa" if Katarzyna Kawa wins 3.5 or more total games than Rinko Matsuda in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rinko Matsuda". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Katarzyna Kawa could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Rinko Matsuda". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko MatsudaPolymarket100% Katarzyna KawaOpen
China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko MatsudaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko MatsudaPolymarket100% Katarzyna KawaOpen
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Rinko Matsuda: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Katarzyna Kawa (-1.5) vs Rinko Matsuda (+1.5)Polymarket100% Rinko MatsudaOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko MatsudaPolymarket100% Rinko MatsudaOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Rinko Matsuda (-1.5) vs Katarzyna Kawa (+1.5)Polymarket100% Katarzyna KawaOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Kawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 10:24 PM UTC