PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Nicola Senn vs Marcus Sehested

Nicola Senn100%
Marcus Sehested0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 07:51 PMSep 28, 06:02 PMSep 29, 04:13 PMSep 30, 02:24 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicola Senn and Marcus Sehested in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nicola Senn” if Nicola Senn wins the first set. It will resolve to “Marcus Sehested” if Marcus Sehested wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Nicola Senn vs Marcus SehestedPolymarket100% Nicola SennOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Nicola Senn vs. Marcus Sehested: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Senn vs. Sehested: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Nicola Senn (-1.5) vs Marcus Sehested (+1.5)Polymarket100% Nicola SennOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Marcus Sehested (-1.5) vs Nicola Senn (+1.5)Polymarket100% Nicola SennOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Senn vs. Sehested: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Nicola Senn vs Marcus SehestedPolymarket100% Nicola SennOpen
M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying: Completed Match: Nicola Senn vs Marcus SehestedPolymarket100% YesOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:47 PM UTC