PolymarketOpen

Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?

No75%
Yes26%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.9K
Spread33%
ResolvesOct 16, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 07:33 PMSep 28, 12:32 PMSep 29, 05:32 AMSep 29, 10:31 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Serbia call its presidential election by September 30, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Polymarket55% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:09 PM UTC