Will Erik Karlsson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?

No82%
Yes19%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$187
Spread37%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the James Norris Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses the official winner (or alphabetical tie-breaker) and may resolve to Other if no winner is declared by its deadline; Kalshi proportionally pays Yes in a tie. Their settlement times also differ, but the source event is the same.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Erik Karlsson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?

    This market will resolve to the player who wins the James Norris Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • KalshiOpen →

    NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy: James Norris Memorial Trophy: Erik Karlsson wins

    If Erik Karlsson wins the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple participants tie for the award, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay $1 minus the “Yes” payout.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Dante Fabbro win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Bowen Byram win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Charlie McAvoy win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Brock Faber win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Alex Vlasic win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Jake Sanderson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Jakob Chychrun win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Devon Toews win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Brady Skjei win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Colton Parayko win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Brandon Montour win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will Gustav Forsling win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Kris Letang win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will MacKenzie Weegar win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Lane Hutson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket77% NoOpen
Will Justin Faulk win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Luke Hughes win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Mike Matheson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Mattias Ekholm win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Thomas Chabot win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Shayne Gostisbehere win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Zach Werenski win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Sean Durzi win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Shea Theodore win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?Polymarket81% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 07:28 AM UTC