OutcomeOpen
regulation time, 90 minutes plus stoppage time: Will Wales vs Norway (UEFA Nations League, 1 October 2026 18:45 UTC) end in a draw?
No80%
Yes20%
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24h volume$12.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 3 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Settles Yes if Wales and Norway finish level, counting regulation time, 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Union of European Football Associations. Scheduled to start 1 October 2026 18:45 UTC; resolution deadline 2 October 2026 18:45 UTC. The metadata does not specify cancellation or refund rules. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.
SourceUnion of European Football Associations
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wales vs Norway (UEFA Nations League, 1 October 2026 18:45 UTC): regulation time, 90 minutes plus stoppage time: Norway wins | Outcome | 65% Yes | Open |
| Wales vs Norway (UEFA Nations League, 1 October 2026 18:45 UTC): regulation time, 90 minutes plus stoppage time: Wales wins | Outcome | 85% No | Open |
| Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch — $20B | Outcome | 93% No | Open |
| Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch — $15B | Outcome | 89% No | Open |
| Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch — $10B | Outcome | 82% No | Open |
| Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch — $5B | Outcome | 95% No | Open |
| Polymarket FDV above ... one day after launch — $30B | Outcome | 97% No | Open |
| Wales vs Norway (UEFA Nations League, 1 October 2026 18:45 UTC): A result other than either listed participant winning or a draw | Outcome | 50% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 37 minutes agoHolders—
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As of Sep 29, 10:43 PM UTC