PolymarketResolved

Montgomery vs. Garcia: Match O/U 23.5

Under100%
Over0%

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ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 04:05 PMSep 28, 02:46 PMSep 29, 01:27 PMSep 30, 12:07 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Montgomery and Maria Aran Teixido Garcia in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WTA statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaPolymarket100% Robin MontgomeryOpen
Set 2 Winner: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaPolymarket100% Robin MontgomeryOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Maria Aran Teixido Garcia (-1.5) vs Robin Montgomery (+1.5)Polymarket100% Robin MontgomeryOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Robin Montgomery (-1.5) vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia (+1.5)Polymarket100% Robin MontgomeryOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Robin Montgomery vs. Maria Aran Teixido Garcia: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket85% Under 2.5Open
Montgomery vs. Garcia: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Robin Montgomery (-7.5) vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia (+7.5)Polymarket61% Maria Aran Teixido GarciaOpen
China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaPolymarket54% YesOpen
China Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaPolymarket94% Robin MontgomeryOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:34 PM UTC