PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Kuma Ito vs David Qariaqus

David Qariaqus100%
Kuma Ito0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 02:58 PMSep 28, 02:05 PMSep 29, 01:12 PMSep 30, 12:19 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kuma Ito and David Qariaqus in the M25 Darwin, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kuma Ito” if Kuma Ito wins the first set. It will resolve to “David Qariaqus” if David Qariaqus wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Darwin, Qualifying: Completed Match: Kuma Ito vs David QariaqusPolymarket100% YesOpen
M25 Darwin: Kuma Ito vs David QariaqusPolymarket100% David QariaqusOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kuma Ito vs David QariaqusPolymarket100% David QariaqusOpen
Kuma Ito vs. David Qariaqus: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ito vs. Qariaqus: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kuma Ito (-1.5) vs David Qariaqus (+1.5)Polymarket100% David QariaqusOpen
Set Handicap: David Qariaqus (-1.5) vs Kuma Ito (+1.5)Polymarket100% David QariaqusOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:01 PM UTC