Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 28?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on September 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.
Sourcehttps://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 28? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:37 AM UTC