PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Matias Soto (-1.5) vs Lautaro Midon (+1.5)

Lautaro Midon100%
Matias Soto0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 07:02 AMSep 28, 06:03 AMSep 29, 05:04 AMSep 30, 04:05 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matias Soto and Lautaro Midon in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Matias Soto" if Matias Soto wins by 2 or more sets than Lautaro Midon, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lautaro Midon." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Matias Soto can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 2 Winner: Matias Soto vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket100% Lautaro MidonOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Lautaro Midon (-1.5) vs Matias Soto (+1.5)Polymarket100% Lautaro MidonOpen
Matias Soto vs. Lautaro Midon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Soto vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Soto vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Lautaro Midon (-2.5) vs Matias Soto (+2.5)Polymarket100% Lautaro MidonOpen
Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon: Matias Soto winsPolymarket100% Lautaro MidonOpen
Curitiba: Completed Match: Matias Soto vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Matias Soto vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket100% Lautaro MidonOpen

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As of Sep 30, 08:16 PM UTC