PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena

Facundo Mena72%
Luis Guto Miguel29%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.1K
Spread48%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 04:51 AMSep 28, 03:04 AMSep 29, 01:17 AMSep 29, 11:31 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Guto Miguel and Facundo Mena in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luis Guto Miguel” if Luis Guto Miguel wins the first set. It will resolve to “Facundo Mena” if Facundo Mena wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo MenaPolymarket74% Facundo MenaOpen
Luis Guto Miguel vs. Facundo Mena: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket51% Under 2.5Open
Miguel vs. Mena: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Miguel vs. Mena: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Facundo Mena (-1.5) vs Luis Guto Miguel (+1.5)Polymarket51% Luis Guto MiguelOpen
Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena: Luis Guto Miguel winsPolymarket53% Facundo MenaOpen
Curitiba: Completed Match: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo MenaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Facundo Mena (-1.5) vs Luis Guto Miguel (+1.5)Polymarket50% Luis Guto MiguelOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:35 PM UTC