PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Toby Samuel (-4.5) vs Mackenzie McDonald (+4.5)

Toby Samuel100%
Mackenzie McDonald0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Liquidity$0
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ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 06:47 AMSep 28, 05:33 AMSep 29, 04:19 AMSep 30, 03:06 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Toby Samuel" if Toby Samuel wins 4.5 or more total games than Mackenzie McDonald in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mackenzie McDonald". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Toby Samuel could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Mackenzie McDonald". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Samuel vs. McDonald: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonaldPolymarket100% Toby SamuelOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Toby Samuel vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonaldPolymarket100% Toby SamuelOpen
Set Handicap: Toby Samuel (-1.5) vs Mackenzie McDonald (+1.5)Polymarket100% Toby SamuelOpen
Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Toby Samuel (+1.5)Polymarket100% Toby SamuelOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonaldPolymarket100% Toby SamuelOpen
Porto 2: Completed Match: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonaldPolymarket100% YesOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Samuel vs. McDonald: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 10:43 AM UTC