PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Otto Virtanen (-4.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+4.5)

Tiago Pereira50%
Otto Virtanen50%

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24h volume$3.7
7d volume$860.7
30d volume$860.7
Liquidity$0.2
Spread98%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Otto Virtanen" if Otto Virtanen wins 4.5 or more total games than Tiago Pereira in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tiago Pereira". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Otto Virtanen could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tiago Pereira". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set Handicap: Tiago Pereira (-1.5) vs Otto Virtanen (+1.5)Polymarket50% Otto VirtanenOpen
Set 2 Winner: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago PereiraPolymarket50% Tiago PereiraOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Otto Virtanen vs. Tiago Pereira: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Porto 2: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago PereiraPolymarket75% Otto VirtanenOpen
Set Handicap: Otto Virtanen (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5)Polymarket50% Otto VirtanenOpen
Porto 2: Completed Match: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago PereiraPolymarket54% YesOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket73% OverOpen
Virtanen vs. Pereira: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago PereiraPolymarket75% Otto VirtanenOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:53 AM UTC